There she goes...

AP has just announced Hillary will win New Hampshire. I am shocked, and am trying to figure out how this happened.

The polls are good. They really, really are. Back in the day, it may have been more art than science, but those days are gone. The pollsters know what they are doing, and every one showed Obama with a substantial lead. So what does that mean? It means that likely Hillary supporters knew every single one had to make it to the polls or her campaign was over. This was probably helped by Obama supporters who got lazy based on the polls.

The other scenario is that John McCain pulled in a crazy amount on independents. New Hampshire is one of the biggest states for independents, and a loss for Obama means most of the independents decided to vote Republican and for McCain. If this is the case, it means he might be a viable national candidate. People have always suspected he has crossover appeal, and Sen. Joe Lieberman's support might be taken as a modicum of proof of this, though he isn't exactly part of the Democrat establishment.

If McCain is going to make more waves, he is going to have to find a way to speak to the Republican core. During the last election, he lost South Carolina and the election because he couldn't reach the base. He's not the world's best communicator, but he has foreign policy credentials that might transcend this problem.

Either way, his win means the primary season will remain interesting and keep three people involved. Giuliani hasn't won anything yet, but he still leads in national polls. I'm pulling for him in Nevada just to mix everything up a bit more.