Sorry. Bad pun. Note to self. Headline writing days are over.
As I predicted, McCain failed to win in Michigan. And the polls are showing some definite problems. In fact, the results tonight show us something that probably should have been obvious by now. The Republican base doesn't like him, which makes life in a primary very hard.
McCain won big in New Hampshire, which is a state known for it's independent votes. He didn't need the Republican base there, but he did need it in Michigan, and those votes went to Romney tonight, with a fair amount going to Huckabee.
His votes came from three groups, or at least from people belonging to one or more of these three groups. People who don't like President Bush. People who are pro-choice. And people who are against the war. This is hardly the Republican base and exactly why he fares better among independents.
I am a bit puzzled by this last group seeing as McCain has been the biggest proponent of the surge and has said he will keep fighting the fight until satisfied it is over.
McCain works better as an independent or in a general election, but based on these results, he will have a hard time getting there.
If McCain ends up losing the nomination, I think the door is wide open for a Michael Bloomberg independent run. In fact, I would be shocked if his polling lets him enter under any other scenario. If this happened, I think McCain would make a very interesting running mate option.
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